Expectancy Calculator
Free expectancy calculator. Measure your trading edge using win rate and average win/loss. Compare strategies and validate whether rule changes actually help.
Expectancy
Edge from win rate and payoffMeasure your trading edge with expectancy
An expectancy calculator estimates your long-run edge using win rate and average win/loss. Use it to compare strategies and to validate whether changes (like tighter stops) actually help.
- Expectancy combines win rate and payoff into one edge metric.
- Use sample-size awareness—small datasets can mislead.
- Pair with stats dashboards to track expectancy over time.
FAQs
It’s for traders who want consistent risk management. Use it to plan position size, stops, and targets before you enter so the math is clear.
Yes. The concepts apply to MT5/Forex-style pricing. Exact results depend on your broker’s contract specs, symbol settings, and account currency.
Log the plan (risk %, stop distance, target, and rationale) in your trading journal so you can review outcomes and refine your rules over time.
It depends on trade frequency and variance, but positive expectancy is the baseline. Many traders then optimize for stability (lower variance) as well as mean edge.
Explore core features
Pair these tools with the journal, stats, replay, and dashboards to build a complete review loop.
Compare alternatives
If you’re comparing DayTradingCentral with other journaling and replay tools, use our comparison hub to evaluate workflows side-by-side.